Florida Covid Statistics: What Is Really Happening, January 13, 2022

For a pdf of this post, click here.

I have also published delta variant information, a new omicron variant post, and archived Covid-19 information.

Last week, the number of deaths among permanent residents reported to the state of Florida increased by 155%. The state is claiming only 24% of the Covid-19 deaths during the past week as “New Deaths” (111 of 470). Seventeen people died in Hillsborough County. Between April 1, 2021, and January 13, 2022—when vaccinations were available to all Floridians over the age of 16—9.9% of all Covid-19 deaths have occurred in Florida, a state with 6.6% of the population.

Florida is claiming a 72% vaccination rate. However, only 59% of all permanent Florida residents have at least completed a vaccine series. Twenty-one percent have received booster shots, a precaution considered very important to protect residents against the omicron variant.

On the January 13th report, Florida reported 4,992,265 cumulative cases. Of those, 430,297 were reported as new, an 8% increase from the prior week (397,114). That does not include almost a thousand people who tested positive before this week but were newly reported. There were really 431,283 new cases. The number of cases in Hillsborough County rose 10% in the past week (from 22,135 to 24,400).

With a statewide positivity rate of 29.3%, there were as many as 5 times the official number of permanent Florida residents infected with SARS-CoV-2. Compared to five weeks ago—when the omicron variant was first detected—Florida has experienced a rise in new reported cases of 3,206%.

During January 7–13, 88,494 Florida residents under the age of twenty tested positive, an increase of 29% from the week before. School-aged children had a higher rise in new cases than those younger than 6 compared to a week ago (31% vs. 23%). Reported cases in the Hillsborough County School District rose 102% in one week.

In Florida’s hardest-hit area, Miami-Dade County, there are signs that the omicron wave of infections may have reached its peak. In the seven days before January 13th, there were 93,321 permanent residents who tested positive (a 16% decrease). This is three weeks after they experienced a 354% rise in cases. Over three percent of Miami-Dade’s population tested positive last week (3,434/100,000). However, a positivity rate of 31% indicates the percentage of those infected is closer to 20%. The number of people who died last week in Miami-Dade County rose 177% to 100.

Until January 7th, the state continued to emphasize monoclonal antibody treatment. Mutations which have resulted in the omicron variant render ineffective almost all the monoclonal antibodies currently in use. In the region which includes Florida, 99% of cases are now due to that viral strain. There is only one produced in the US and UK which can attach to circulating omicron particles. Sotrovimab works against the omicron variant at a dosage three times that required to neutralize the delta variant.

With the sudden shift in predominating strains, it is likely to be very difficult even for people at the highest risk to access the limited supply of monoclonal antibody treatment for an omicron infection. Two weeks ago, hospitals in Florida used 140 of the state’s stockpile of 4,400 doses, in contrast to over 2,700 doses of the now-ineffective monoclonal antibody Regeneron.

During the first week of January, the Florida Surgeon General decried the “testing psychology” which seeks to identify all Covid cases to slow the rate of community transmission. Amidst the scandal which erupted concerning the 1,000,000 expired antigen tests, Florida’s web site shifted its focus to testing. Specifically, that people who are not high-risk should avoid it. Then, the governor announced the state is shipping 1,000,000 test kits to long-term care and nursing facilities followed by communities with high proportions of elderly individuals.

You won’t find any hospitalization information on Florida’s Weekly Surveillance Reports. The US Dept of Health and Human Services tracks this. During August 1, 2020–January 13, 2022, 8.4% of all hospitalizations in the US have been within Florida. There were 1,229% more Floridians in the hospital with Covid-19 on January 14th,compared to December 10th.

For January 7–13, 2022, there were 14,278 hospital admissions, an average of 2,040/day. This is an increase of 22% from the previous week. Thirteen percent of them required care in the ICU. Hospitalizations increased for every adult age group, ranging from 4% for ages 18–29 to 60% for people over 70. After several weeks of younger adults having higher rates of admission than middle-aged people, the pattern is back to what we have come to expect with Covid.

Pediatric hospitalizations fell 2% compared to last week. Children had experienced a 203% rise during the last week of December. Compared to the delta variant wave we encountered in 2021, omicron admissions are higher for people younger than 30 and older than 69.

On January 14, 2022, 83% of hospital beds in Florida were full. Covid patients accounted for 11,552 of them (20% of utilized beds, up from 16%). This is 23% more Covid patients than a week ago. Twenty-three percent of ICU beds were used by 1,451 Covid patients, 30% more than the previous week. Overall, 84% of ICU beds are occupied in the state.

In regions where the omicron variant is predominant, hospital officials are seeing more incidental Covid cases among people who are in the hospital. Roughly one-third are admitted for a primary diagnosis of Covid; one-third for a Covid infection making an underlying condition worse; and one-third for reasons unrelated to their viral infection.

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Until January 1, 2022, Florida was the only state in the US which was releasing statistics on a weekly basis. Tennessee has now switched to that schedule. Information available in Florida’s reports is far more limited than what the state formerly provided.

Since October 14, 2021, I have made many attempts to access the FL Dept of Health Weekly Report. However, my browser will not download it due to a potential security risk:

Florida Covid-19 Response

TBT: Why Doesnt Florida Trust Its Residents with Basic COVID Information?

On October 18th, I followed the Dept of Health’s recommendation to contact their COVID Data Analytics section, then went outside. When I returned, I had to do a major recovery process following an unauthorized attempt to access my hard drive. I still have not received a response from the FL COVID Data Analytics group. Even the main site for the Florida Dept of Health appears on an unsecure connection: www.floridahealth.gov.

Meanwhile faculty at the University of Florida charge that they have felt external pressure from the highest levels of state government to delete data related to their Covid research. They also encountered “barriers to accessing and analyzing” data and “barriers to publication of scientific research which inhibited the ability of faculty to contribute scientific findings during a world-wide pandemic.”

The Hill: University of Florida Initiates Investigation into Alleged Destruction of COVID-19 Research Data

I’m now accessing the pdf for the weekly summary via Dr. Jason Salemi’s site:

Here is some of the data from January 7–13, 2022:

  • New cases = 430,297; Cumulative cases = 4,992,265
  • Positivity rate = 29.3%
  • New deaths = 111; Cumulative deaths = 63,158
  • Vaccination rate = 72%
  • Fully vaccinated people minus those with booster shots = 8,332,005
  • Total booster doses: 4,632,038

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

The vaccination rate reported by the state rose one percentage point to 72%. This figure represents only those eligible for vaccination and includes partially vaccinated people. Florida’s population is currently 21,975,117, so 59% have at least completed a vaccination series. People who receive a booster shot are removed from the Series Completed Category and added to the Additional Dose Category.

Twenty-one percent of Floridians have received a booster shot, a dose considered extremely important for providing protection against the omicron variant. Since I created this chart, researchers have discovered that booster efficacy begins to wane at ten weeks:

Efficacy at Peak of Protection: Booster Efficacy Wanes 15% to 20% After Ten Weeks

Covid-19: The Omicron Variant

UK Government: Monitoring Reports of the Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccination: Data on the Real-World Efficacy of the COVID-19 Vaccines

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

Note that archived data on influenza statistics is readily available on the FL Dept of Health web site: Florida Influenza Surveillance Reports 2001–2022

This data from December 31, 2021–January 6, 2022, came from Dr. Salemi’s archives. Since October 14th, my browser will not download the FL Dept of Health Weekly Report, citing it as a security risk. Nevertheless, you would not find any archived Covid information on the FL Dept of Health site:

This was the situation during December 31, 2021–January 6, 2022:

  • New cases = 397,114; Cumulative cases = 4,562,954
  • Positivity rate = 31.2%
  • New deaths = 44; Cumulative deaths = 62,688
  • Vaccination rate = 72%
  • Fully vaccinated people minus those with booster shots = 8,504,748
  • Total booster doses: 4,397,324

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

January 6, 2022 Florida Statistics: What Is Really Happening?

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Covid Deaths in Florida:

Despite making national news for the state government’s attempt to cover up the number of deaths, nothing has changed in the Florida Department of Health’s methodology.

The Hill: Florida Reported ‘Artificial Decline’ in COVID-19 Deaths as Cases Were Surging

Subtracting the January 13th New Deaths from the Cumulative Deaths should give us the number of January 6th Cumulative Deaths. However, doing that reveals 359 deaths which were not included in the January 6th New Deaths. There was a total of 470 deaths reported in Florida during that week. Yet only 24% of deaths (111) are reflected clearly on the January 13th report. This is a 155% increase from last week (184).

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

January 6, 2022 Florida Statistics: What Is Really Happening?

When the state receives a report of a death from an earlier week, that information is added to “Cumulative Deaths” without being noted in “Previous Week Deaths.” It usually takes more than one week for death reports to get sent to the state. 

Unless someone knows to compare the two data sets from both weeks, that is not apparent. By removing data from January 6th and adding data from January 13th simultaneously, only people who have saved the older data can see what they are doing. It looks like the death rate is 76% better than it is.

Florida Politics: Florida Reports 1000+ Covid-19 Deaths in Past Week

During January 6th–13th, Hillsborough County had 17 deaths reported to the CDC, an increase of 240% from the prior week:

CDC: Integrated County View, Hillsborough FL

On June 4th, the state removed all data from anyone who has not established permanent residency and stopped reporting information from visitors, seasonal residents, and migrant workers. This deleted 744 deaths. I can no longer access this file, as my browser deems it a security risk:

FL Covid-19 Cases and Monitoring as of June 3, 2021

Since August 1st, 22,508 permanent residents of Florida have died from Covid-19. All FL residents at least sixteen years old became eligible for vaccination on April 1st. SARS-CoV-2 infections have killed 28,592 permanent residents of the state since that date to January 13, 2022. Despite having only 6.6% of the US population, this represents 9.9% of all American Covid-19 deaths since everyone at least 16 years old qualified for vaccination.

Trends in Number of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the US Reported to CDC, by State

Since the pandemic began, 1.0% of all permanent Florida residents at least 65 years old have died due to Covid-19 (1027/100,000). That is 7.6% of people in that age group who tested positive. The percentage fell 8% in the last week (from 8.2%) and 12% in the past two weeks, indicating that a lot of Florida’s senior citizens have recently tested positive. Nationwide, 9.3% of senior citizens who have tested positive have died:

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

CDC: Demographic Trends of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the US Reported to CDC

The CDC recently updated their algorithm for calculating excess deaths in the US to include six years of data, rather than four, due to the pandemic skewing the expected numbers. Here is that information for Florida. You can click on each bar on their site to see the data for that week. It takes up to eight weeks for complete reporting. This is from last week; the graphic is missing from the January 12th update:

CDC: Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19

Florida has a higher than expected proportion of excess deaths compared to other states. This is the total number of excess deaths throughout the pandemic, not the number per 100,000 people:

DC: Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19 by Jurisdiction/Cause

Three weeks ago, Florida improved from the deepest shade of blue for the first time since I began downloading this graphic. If you go to the CDC’s site and click on Florida, you will see on the January 14th update that only 70 deaths are reported for the last 7 days, despite 470 in the state report during January 7–13, 2022. The other large states have much higher numbers for the week. Florida now ranks second for the highest proportion of Covid deaths among the six largest states: CA (194); TX (260); FL (293); NY (221); PA (298); IL (255).

CDC: United States COVID-19 Cases, Deaths, and Laboratory Testing by State and Territory

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Covid Cases in Florida:

On the January 13th report, Florida reported 4,992,265 cumulative cases. Of those, 430,297 were reported as new, an 8% increase from the prior week (397,114). Subtracting the new number from the cumulative one should give us the cumulative number from the prior week: 4,561,968.

However, the January 6th report shows a cumulative number of 4,562,954. This week, the state is under-reporting 986 cases, 0.2% of the total. They represent people who tested positive before January 7th whose reports were filed during January 7–13, 2022. There were really 431,283 new cases reported:

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

January 6, 2022 Florida Statistics: What Is Really Happening?

Compared to five weeks ago—when the omicron variant was first detected—Florida has experienced an increase in new cases of 3,206%. A new case positivity rate of 31.2% means there are likely five unreported cases for each positive test.

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

Miami-Dade County was one of the first places in the state to detect the omicron variant. On December 16th, 80% of samples sequenced there were the omicron variant. Only two weeks before, 99% had been the delta variant. There are signs that the omicron wave may have reached its peak in that county. Look at what has happened there in the seven days before January 13th:

  • 93,000 cases despite 86% of the eligible population being fully vaccinated. This is a 16% decrease from last week, when there were 110,000; two weeks ago, they had 100,000 new cases. Four weeks ago, there were 11,500 cases.
  • Three percent of the population tested positive during last week (3,434/100,000)
  • A 31% positivity rate, meaning the actual number of cases is likely 6 times higher. This is a 4% decrease from the previous week.
  • 6% more hospitalizations than a week ago. Two weeks earlier, the rate had risen 124%.
  • 100 people died, 177% more than a week ago.

There is a discrepancy between the CDC and state data, with Florida reporting a 6% lower positivity rate and a slight difference of 500 more new cases:

CDC: Integrated County View, Miami-Dade FL

ABC News: Omicron Makes Up 80% of Cases in Miami-Dade

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

On June 4th, the state removed all data from anyone who is not a permanent resident and stopped reporting it. This deleted 43,535 cases.

FL Covid-19 Cases and Monitoring as of June 3, 2021

During the week of January 7–January 13, 2022, 15,645 children under five tested positive in Florida, an increase of 23% over the previous week (12,721). Among those 6–19, 72,849 tested positive, 31% more than the prior week (55,738). In total, 88,494 Florida residents under the age of twenty tested positive, an increase of 29% from the week before (68,459). Since vaccination was approved for ages 5–11, the highest positivity rates in Florida have shifted from children to everyone under 60.

Booster shots are approved for anyone at least 12 years old who had a second shot of an mRNA vaccine over five months ago or got the Johnson & Johnson vaccine two months ago. Those aged 12–17 are limited to the Pfizer vaccine.

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

January 6, 2022 Florida Statistics: What Is Really Happening?

CDC: COVID-19 Vaccine Booster Shots

In the Hillsborough County School District, as of January 13, 2022, there have been 18,916 cases during this school year. The 4,176 cases reported during December 31–January 6 constitute a 102% increase from the previous week (2,062 during December 31, 2021–January 6, 2022).

This school year began on August 10th, and the district instituted a mandatory mask mandate on August 18th. They ended it on October 15th. Florida law prohibits requiring masks in non-medical settings and now leaves the decision about quarantining after a close contact at school to the child’s parents.

HCSD: Covid FrequentlyAsked Questions

My daughters’ high school has had 103 cases, with 12 of those in the last week. Our elementary school has had 107, with 24 occurring last week. None had been reported for several weeks before the fall semester ended.

Hillsborough County Public Schools Covid Dashboard

Here are a few of the FL Dept of Health county positivity rates. Hillsborough County’s fell slightly, from 30.8% to 30.1%. The state average dropped by 7% in one week, from 31.3% to 29.3%. That means there are likely five unreported cases for each positive test. We cannot tell from the state report that the number of cases in Hillsborough County rose 10% in the past week (from 22,135 to 24,400):

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

Dr. Jason Salemi, a professor from the University of South Florida, has been compiling data from the state since May 28th. His county-level data are quite helpful. Note that the date reflects the beginning of the week. It indicates that Hillsborough County’s cases rose 10%, from 1,467/ 100,000 people to 1,617/100,000 during January 7–13, 2022. On his site, you can click on the maps for detailed information on each county:

He also lists the data for each week since May 28, 2021, when Florida deleted its daily dashboard. I have excluded some weeks to fit the most recent date into the screenshot. The 10% increase in Hillsborough County cases this week is evident here:

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida

CDC: COVID-19 Integrated County View, Hillsborough County FL

Until January 8th, the state continued to emphasize monoclonal antibody treatment. Mutations which have resulted in the omicron variant render ineffective almost all the monoclonal antibodies currently in use. In the region which includes Florida, 99% of cases are now due to that viral strain. A week ago, it was 98%:

Florida Covid-19 Response

CDC: Variant Proportions

The Hill: DeSantis Calls for States to Be Allowed to Buy Monoclonal Antibody Treatments

January 6, 2022 Florida Statistics: What Is Really Happening?

There is only monoclonal antibody produced in the US and UK which can attach to circulating omicron particles. Sotrovimab works against the omicron variant at a dosage three times that required to neutralize the delta variant. With the sudden shift in predominating strains, it is likely to be very difficult even for people at the highest risk to access the limited supply of monoclonal antibody treatment for an omicron infection.

Two weeks ago, hospitals in Florida used 140 of the state’s stockpile of 4,400 doses, in contrast to over 2,700 doses of the ineffective Regeneron Monoclonal Antibody.

Covid-19: The Omicron Variant

Tampa Bay Times: Omicron Undermines Florida’s Strategy to Combat Coronavirus: Gov. Ron DeSantis Continues to Tout Monoclonal Antibody Therapies, but New Evidence Shows Their Effectiveness Against COVID-19 Is Waning

Even Tampa General Hospital is warning prospective patients not to rely upon that treatment:

Tampa General: Treatment Options for Omicron Variant

On January 3, 2022, the Florida Surgeon General decried the “testing psychology” which seeks to identify all Covid cases to slow the rate of community transmission. Amidst the scandal which erupted on January 7th concerning the 1,000,000 expired antigen tests, Florida’s web site has also shifted its focus to testing. Specifically, that people who are not high-risk should avoid it.

On January 6th, the governor announced the state is shipping 1,000,000 test kits to long-term care and nursing facilities followed by communities with high proportions of elderly individuals:

The Hill: Florida Surgeon General Blasts “Testing Psychology” around COVID-19

Florida Covid-19 Response

The Hill: DeSantis Administration Says It Let a Million COVID-19 Tests Expire in Florida Warehouse

The Hill: Florida Sending 1 Million Free COVID-19 Tests to Elderly Communities

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Covid Hospitalizations in Florida:

You won’t find any hospitalization information on Florida’s Weekly Surveillance Reports. Florida stopped reporting Covid hospitalizations on June 24, 2021. However, Florida must relay all hospitalization data to the US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS).

Florida reported a record 13,028 hospitalizations for Covid-19 on August 24, 2021, to the US Department of Health and Human Services.

COVID Data Tracker: New Admissions of Patients with Confirmed COVID-19 per 100,000 Population by Age Group

In regions where the omicron variant is predominant, hospital officials are seeing more incidental Covid cases among people who are in the hospital. Roughly one-third are admitted for a primary diagnosis of Covid; one-third for a Covid infection making an underlying condition worse; and one-third for reasons unrelated to their viral infection.

WaPo: In the Nation’s Hospitals, this Covid Wave Is Different

MedPage: When COVID Pushes Other Conditions Past the “Tipping Point”—Is the Patient Hospitalized “for” COVID, “with” COVID, or Somewhere in Between?

Seventeen weeks ago, Florida had the highest adult hospitalization rate in the US. Until four weeks ago, Florida had remained the second best (ending at 8.9/100,000) for six weeks. Last week, Florida rose to from 17th (48.4/100,000) to 12th (62.5/100,000) among states, an increase of 29%:

Florida’s pediatric hospitalization rate rose from 15th worst to 14th on January 14th (from 4.82/100,000 to 5.58/100,000):

Salemi USF: COVID-19 Currently Hospitalized in Florida

January 6, 2022 Florida Statistics: What Is Really Happening?

For August 1, 2020–January 13, 2022, Florida has had 355,149 new admissions for Covid patients. This represents 8.4% of all Covid admissions in the US for 6.6% of the US population:

For January 7–13, 2022, there was an average of 2,040 admissions per day, a total of 14,278. This is an increase of 22% from the previous week (1,672) and a decrease of 9% from the peak during August 11–17, 2021 when there were 10.42 admissions/100,000 Floridians.

You can find more detailed hospitalization statistics on the same CDC COVID Data Tracker, choosing Florida as the Jurisdiction and stratifying by any age:

Hospitalizations increased for every adult age group, ranging from 4% for ages 18–29 to 60% for people over 70. After several weeks of younger adults having higher rates of admission than middle-aged people, the pattern is back to what we have come to expect with Covid.

Pediatric hospitalizations fell 2% compared to last week. Children had experienced a 203% rise during the last week of December.

Compared to the delta variant wave we encountered in 2021, omicron admissions are higher for people younger than 30 and older than 69.

On January 13th, there were 9.50 new admissions/100,000 Floridians; 7.66 the week before:

AgeAdmissions% Change
0–171.86-2
18–294.444
30–395.8910
40–495.9320
50–599.0030
60–6913.8438
70+25.1860
all ages9.5024


COVID Data Tracker: New Admissions of Patients with Confirmed COVID-19 per 100,000 Population by Age Group

January 6, 2022 Florida Statistics: What Is Really Happening?

The number of adults in the hospital was steadily dropping until six weeks ago. On January 14th, that number had risen by 1,229% to 10,933. It was 9,176 on January 7th, a rise of 19% in the last week. One-eighth of hospitalized adults are in the ICU (13%, slightly higher than a week ago).

Pediatric hospitalizations are 13% higher than last week, with 237 children in Florida hospitals. There were 82 pediatric admissions/day, almost the same as a week ago but 82% higher than during December 24th–30th:

Salemi USF: COVID-19 in Florida Hospital Admissions by Age

HHS tracks Hospital Utilization. On January 14, 2022, 83% of hospital beds in Florida were full, up 1% from last week. Covid patients accounted for 11,552 of them (20% of utilized beds, up from 16%). Last week, there were 9,416 hospitalized Covid patients, an increase of 23%:

Twenty-three percent of ICU beds in use in Florida were used by 1,451 Covid patients, 30% more than the previous week (1,117). A week earlier, 18% of ICU beds were used by Covid patients. Overall, 84% of ICU beds are occupied in the state:

HHS: Inpatient Bed Utilization by State

January 6, 2022 Florida Statistics: What Is Really Happening?

Many hospitals are publishing their own occupancy statistics. For example, Tampa General Hospital released this on January 14th:

  • There were 178 Covid-19 admissions, up from 159 a week before
  • Thirty-eight Covid patients were in their ICU, up from 21 a week earlier

Tampa General: Hospital Bed Availability for COVID-19 Patients

January 6, 2022 Florida Statistics: What Is Really Happening?

Archived posts on Florida Covid statistics are available here

Florida Covid Statistics: What is Really Happening?